Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved
packages in R 4.3.2 (on a new machine). This only gave minor numerical
differences in the long-term forecasts of vignette("CHILI_prophet").
Accommodate restricted checks without suggested packages.
Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages in R 4.0.4, resulting in the following changes:
vignette("BNV"): age-specific amplitude-shift parameter
transformations were wrong in summary(mg_Cpower);
bug fixed in surveillance 1.18.0.
surveillance::pit() values for degenerate forecasts with zero
probability for observed counts may differ due to a change in
surveillance 1.17.1 (they still produce warnings).
vignette("CHILI_hhh4"): no rounding of n from 213 to 210 in
printed calibrationTest() (a bug fixed in R 3.6.0).
vignette("CHILI_prophet"): minor numerical differences in model fit
and predictions due to changes in prophet.
Use standard PIT for continuous forecasts (arima, prophet, naive).
Differences to the previously used non-randomized PIT histograms for
count data are negligible.
Add scores for discretized log-normal forecasts, via new function
scores_lnorm_discrete(). These scores are almost identical to the
continuous scores, essentially due to the large counts.
Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages (forecast 8.5, glarma 1.6.0, hhh4contacts 0.13.0, prophet 0.4, scoringRules 0.9.5, surveillance 1.17.0) in R 3.5.3.
This is the version used for the book chapter.
The contained vignettes have been built using R 3.5.1 with all dependent packages' versions as of 25 July 2018 from CRAN. The versions of the main packages were: